Sunday, February 27, 2011

dL-STS/162 - Don't Look at Spring Training Stats, Prorated over 162 games

dL-STS/162 (Don't Look at Spring Training Stats, prorated over 162 games) was created by Pudge Rodriguez, who hit eight home runs during spring training in 2008, but only seven in 398 regular season at-bats that same year.

The formula is:
(Player's spring training stats)*0

The stat is meant to be used as a way to translate spring training stats into their major league equivalent. Examples would be as follows...

Chan Ho Park - 23 IP, 30 K, 2 BB. That dL-STS/162 translates to: Nothing.
Willie Bloomquist - 47 AB, .389 AVG, 4 HR. 4 SB, .915 OPS. That dL-STS/162 translates to: Not a chance.
Caesar Izturis - 50 AB, .404 AVG, 9 SB, 3 sparkling defensive plays. That dL-STS/162 translates to: Harold Reynolds's pick for AL MVP. Or, in other words, you're an idiot.

You can even use dL-STS/162 when it comes to spring training W-L records.

If the Pirates have a 32-1 W-L record this spring, we could translate that to: The entire Pirates pitching staff may not win 32 games in 2011.

Monday, February 21, 2011

VORB - Value Over Ronnie Belliard


Developed by Manny Ramirez in 2010--because he wanted to know just how much better he was than teammate Ronnie Belliard--VORB (Value Over Ronnie Belliard) is a simple equation that allows us to see just how much better player X is or was over Ronnie Belliard. VORB is calculated as so...

((wOBA+OPS)-(.329+.753))*100

The .329 and .753 are Ronnie Belliard's career wOBA and OPS.

For the 2010 season, Manny Ramirez had a VORB of 17.

((1.252)-(1.082))*100 = 17 VORB

Compare that too Albert Pujols, who had a 2010 VORB of 34.4. Belliard's teammate, James Loney, posted a -4.4 VORB in 2010, which was even worse than Jamie Carroll and his -3.5 VOB...that tells you everything you need to know about James Loney.

Ronnie's father, Rafael Belliard, wasn't nearly as good a hitter as his son, as evident by his -31.1 VORB.

Sunday, February 20, 2011

xOPP - Expected Outfield Person's Power

xOPP or "Expected Outfield Person's Power", is a tool used to gauge how real or unreal an outfielder's home run production is/was. The formula is...

(((ISO*100)+(AB/HR))-(IFFB%))/Glenallen Hill



You down with xOPP? Glennallen is.

WADR - Wins Above Defensive Replacement

First of all, welcome to fake baseball stats. We are dedicated to tireless statistical research in our quest to turn the game of baseball into a simple mathematical equation. It will happen someday...not turning baseball into a simple mathematical equation...but robots taking over the world.


WADR (Wins Above Defensive Replacement) was developed by Stubby Clapp and is known the world over as the best defensive replacement valuation tool, ever. The formula is as follows...

((G/GS)+(UZR+Rtot+RF/9))-(Stubby Clapp's 1.000 career fielding percentage)

2010's best defensive replacements, based on WADR:

Nate Schierholz - SF - 9.1 WADR
Nick Punto - MIN - 7.7 WADR
Reggie Willits - LAA - 7.0 WADR
Ramon Santiago - DET - 6.3 WADR
Reed Johnson - LAD - 4.2 WADR
Ramiro Pena - NYY - 3.4 WADR
Ryan Langerhans - SEA - 2.8 WADR
Matt Tolbert - MIN - 2.2 WADR
Adam Kennedy - WAS - 1.3 WADR

It is apparent that the Twins' scouting department has done a great job over the years, as they are the only team with two players on the 2010 WADR leaderboard. Nate Schierholz chimes in with an impressive 9.1 WADR, just one point shy of the all-time single season mark held by Luis Polonia in 1996 (10.1 WADR).